No. 2 RECOILED brought his trial form to raceday on debut and proved too strong over 1000m. Conditions suited on that day but he should take a lot of improvement from that run and be very hard to beat. No. 3 Sporting Image drops back to 1000m where we've seen him perform over before. He was unlucky first-up but should be suited from barrier 3 and with the claim to Jake Casey. No. 1 Diamond Tonique improved dramatically last start dropping back to 1200m. He drops back even further but has never placed over 1000m. I have my concerns with 59kg that he may not have the turn of foot required to win this. No. 6 First Affair is looking for three victories in a row. From barrier 2 she should get a lovely trip through the early stages and she's demonstrated that she has a good turn of foot.
Win bet No. 2 Recoiled
No. 4 SAUL'S SPECIAL trialled well winning by over 3 lengths. The time that he ran on the way was quicker than some of the gallopers that won races at Ascot on Wednesday. He has to overcome a wide draw, but with the blinkers on this looks a winnable option. No. 1 Our Time Will Come is the only proven galloper in this race. She's won two of five and has never finished outside of the top 3 when racing over 1000m. No. 9 High Conviction looks to be an impressive filly by Snitzel. The Miller stable just keeps producing quality two-year-olds so it would be of no surprise to see her win this race. No. 6 Quincy's Image trialled well over 400m and does have race experience. Patrick Carbery trialled two others and has elected to ride this filly.
Win bet No. 4 Saul's Special
No. 8 KENNOCHA is looking to win three in a row here. She's kept sound and has showed her class. From barrier 6 and with only 53kg, she'll be able to lead or sit just behind the leaders and with her recent from she'll be the one to beat. No. 4 War Prince is the big danger to our on top selection. He races well second-up and young apprentice Aaron Mitchell is in career best form. No. 2 Petrol Power has class on his side when looking at this race. The jockey reported respiratory noises after last race, which is a small concern since this galloper has already had a throat op. However, a scope showed nothing and with the 2kg claim and the extra 100m he should play a part. No. 5 Miki Two Toes was a winner over 1200m two starts ago at Ascot before stepping up to 1500m. The drop back in distance suits and William Pike takes the ride.
Quinella 4 & 8
Trifecta with No. 4,8 / 2,4,5,8 / 2,3,4,5,6,8
No. 6 OUTLAW PETE has been flashing home in recent starts but has been getting too far back to win. Shaun McGruddy takes the ride now and from barrier 4 if they're close enough at the top of the straight his turn of foot should see him be too good. No. 5 Fo'Shizzle was ridden upside down last start. This mare needs to lead or sit outside the leader and make the other runners do more than they want to. She'll get that opportunity from barrier 7 here and with only 52.5kg she'll be very competitive. No. 3 Saker is in career best form and has won two of his past three. He drops back 200m from his last win, but with the 3kg claim on his back, he'll be flashing home with only 53.5kg. No. 1 Muskets At Dawn is another in career best form. He'd never won at Ascot until this campaign and he's now won three of his past four. Aaron Mitchell is in career best form and from barrier 3 this horse should dictate terms through the early stages.
Boxed trifecta 1,2,3,5,6
No. 4 BAYATORIO looks due. The 5yo has had 16 attempts at Ascot and has never won but he's showing the signs that it may be this start. Paul Harvey takes the ride and the drop back in distance should suit. No. 1 Cougar Express was narrowly beaten last start by Uncle George but does get a 2.5kg swing on him for that 0.8 lengths. No. 3 UNCLE GEORGE was a winner two startsago before having no luck last start in the AHA Cup. William Pike takes the ride back and he's drawn perfectly. No. 8 Paseo Del Prado is an adaptable runner who showed a nice turn of foot over shorter races but has also proven that he can stay. He's won over 2100m and can provide the upset.
Each-way bet No. 4 Bayatorio
No. 7 ALL GEE has shown his class this prep, especially when winning last start from barrier 12 over 1400m. He's drawn well here in barrier 4 and only has to carry 54kg. He's the natural leader and will be hard to run down. No. 1 Eurosun still hasn't won for 535 days but finally draws a gate. He's fourth up this prep and if he's going to break that drought it will be this start. No. 2 King Of Wu was a winner last start after racing in a forward position. He gets 2kg off his back and may be able to sit outside of All Gee. No. 3 Push To Pass has William Pike on board which is always an advantage. This galloper is first-up without a trial but did show improvement last campaign.
Trifecta - 1,2,7 / 1,2,7 / 1,2,3,4,5,6
No. 1 PATRIMONIO hasn't done anything wrong this campaign, but since his win first-up he's run into a handy one each time. He's drawn wide here, but with 2kg off his back he should be running home strongly. No. 5 Forver Diamonds drops out of the Listed Challenge Stakes where she wasn't that bad. She was an impressive winner the start before and will also be attacking the line strongly. No. 9 Corvara couldn't have been any more impressive on debut. If the conditions do favour leaders, then back her. No. 3 Le Patron is another with another good turn of foot that should enjoy the speed in the race.
Each-way bet No. 1 Patrimonio
No. 11 DRIVE ON ICE should enjoy the step up in distance. This is still his first campaign, but he's the best value of the day at $12+ with the turn of foot that he showed late last start. No. 2 Slick Talker was an impressive winner two starts ago, before putting in one of the better performances of the day last start. He missed the kick and was one of a few able to make up ground all day. He'll need some luck from barrier 1 but he has shown that he's capable of it. No. 3 Confusing has come back a different horse this campaign. Last campaign he was a stayer that was consistent against mid-week company. Now we're seeing him demonstrate a strong turn of foot and he's won two of his past three, both at the track and distance. No. 5 Mr Mankini impressed two starts ago racing wide throughout but still only finishing two lengths behind North Ridge. Last start they stepped up to 2150m and it was just a little too far. The 1800m should suit with only 53.5kg.
Each-way bet No. 11 Drive On Ice ($12 on some markets).
Leg 1) 1,3,4
Leg 2) 1,2,7
Leg 3) 1,3,4,5,9
Leg 4) 2,3,5,7,11
$75 = 33%