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No. 6 NORTH RIDGE should be suited by this small field with his explosive turn of foot. From barrier four with 54kg I think he'll run over the top of this field late. No. 1 Carry The Nation is a consistent 8YO who enjoys running at the track and distance. He was narrowly beaten last start and gets a 1.5kg swing on Terror Force. No. 5 Miki Two Toes has never raced over 1500m but was very impressive winning over 1200m last start. The small field should also suit him with his turn of foot. No. 2 Rebelson has a very good record when William Pike is on board. The tongue tie goes on and he can lead this race.
Win bet No. 2 North Ridge.
No. 3 LUSAHA has trialled sensationally at Lark Hill. The 2YO for the Mount Hallowell team looks to have a lot of ability and should be able to lead this race and be too strong. No. 6 Whispering Brook has race experience and did win her only run. She won her recent trial and is drawn well in barrier one. No. 1 Chin Strap is one of the few 2yo's this year to have run on strongly. If the leaders go too hard, he'll attack the line strongly. No. 7 Bonny Be Good showed enough class in his only two runs last campaign. William Pike takes the ride after riding her in her recent trial behind Whispering Brook.
Win bet No. 3 Lusaha. Trifecta: 3 / 1,6,7 / 1,2,6,7
No. 2 POUNAMU tasted defeat for the first time since coming to the west. He still caught the eye running home in 34.91 on a day where no other runners made up a lot of ground. The step up to 1600m is ideal. No. 6 Barzinho was a winner two starts ago before having a horror trip last start, caught wide throughout. The step up to 1600m will suit and he should appreciate the speed in the race. No. 4 Paris Dream gets some weight relief with Clint Johnston-Porter taking the ride. Her form over 1600m has been strong, finishing behind Muskets At Dawn and Socially Unique. No. 10 Star Exhibit is first-up for new trainer Adam Durrant. William Pike has elected to follow this galloper who impressed on debut last campaign winning over 1300m at Northam.
Win bet No. 3 Pounamu. Boxed trifecta with 2,4,6,10.
No. 9 HOT GOODS tasted defeat for the first time last start after being pressured through the early stages of the race. William Pike takes the ride and she'll be able to cross with ease from barrier 10. No. 5 Bourne Supremacy impressed first-up finishing just behind Secret Nova, who has won since. He's never finished worse than second when running over 1000m. No. 2 Classical Prince has finished in the top four for all of his four runs this campaign. He gets in nicely in the weights with the claim to Aaron Mitchell and should get a nice run from barrier two. No. 3 Marchand is starting to become an almost horse. He looked to have favours last start but was disappointing. The 2kg claim to Jordan Turner should help his chances.
Boxed Trifecta with 2,3,4,5,9
This looks to be a race between the top four. No. 2 ARCADIA DREAM was in the shadow of stablemate Perfect Reflection last year, but I think she can get the credit she deserves here. She's drawn well and is the only horse to have won over 1800m. No. 4 Spirit Bird hasn't done anything wrong in her past four races, however she hasn't won any of them. She was fourth in the G3 Champion Fillies, second in the G2 Guineas, second when first-up this campaign and then second last start in the Listed Challenge Stakes. She's due to win a listed race. No. 3 Dreamtime Dancer won the Listed Challenge Stakes at a big price and will be more suited with the step-up in distance. She does give weight to the other runners and is drawn awkwardly in barrier 10. No. 1 Blackwood is all class but hasn't quite showed the same form we saw last campaign yet. Barrier one may be a bit awkward for her, but it would be no surprirse to see her win.
Trifecta: 1,2,4 / 1,2,3,4 / 1,2,3,4,5
First 4: 1,2,4 / 1,2,3,4 / 1,2,3,4,5 / 1,2,3,4,5
No. 1 KIA ORA KOUTOU has only tasted defeat once and that was when finishing third at Flemington in the G1 Vic Derby. His recent trial over 1450m showed that he's ready to win first-up and he has plenty of class on this field. No. 4 The Cobbla has been very conistent. He ran third in the G2 Guineas and should get a lovely run from barrier 2. No. 3 Who Dat Singa did too much work from a wide barrier last start, but should find the lead comfortably from barrier 4. No. 9 Heart Starter stepped up in distance and won by 6L in a maiden at Bunbury last start. From the same family as Perth Cup winner Real Love, he should take some confidence into the race.
Boxed trifecta with No. 1,3,4,9,11
First 4 - 1,4 / 1,3,4,9 / 1,2,3,4,9,10,11 / 2,3,7,9,10,11
No. 11 ROMAN FIGHTER comes into the race with no trial. He's finished second on both occasions when first-up and should get a nice run from barrier six. No. 3 Travellin' has won two of his past four (both at 1200m). He goes up in weight which is a small concern, but he's capable of another win in this company. No. 7 Roger The Roman is in career-best form. He's won his last two and the form lines around those victories have held up. From the barrier he may be forced to go back. No. 12 Ripper Red hasn't shown the same form that saw him win the Tabtouch Sprint Final four starts ago. With the speed in the race, he'll be the one running on strongly.
Each-way bet No. 11 Roman Fighter
No. 5 REGAL COMMANDER was beaten by the barrier last start. His form lines are the strongest in the race and the step up to 1400m should suit his strong turn of foot. No. 8 It's It has won three of his past four and only has to carry 51.5kg in this race from barrier one. He'll lead and be hard to get past. No. 11 She Rules All is in career-best form having won her past two over 1200m. The step up to 1400m is a big positive and she only has to carry 52kg. She should sit outside the leader and will fight all the way to the line. No. 6 Coming Back has very strong form lines from last campaign. He's never won first-up but did trial well. From barrier two he should be able to settle just behind the leaders.
Win bet No. 5 Regal Commander.
Leg 1) 1,2,3,4
Leg 2) 1,3,4,9
Leg 3) 2,3,5,7,8,11,12
Leg 4) 5,6,8,11
$112 for 25%