No. 3 BOLERO KING has been ultra impressive winning his last two starts at Hawkesbury in lesser grade. This gelding has drawn well in barrier 2 so Hugh Bowman should put him where he wants during the run. He is getting better and better with each run and I think next prep we might see a Group horse. The drop in weight is a plus and I expect him to handle the Canberra track. No. 13 Ocean Tempest didn't have the best of luck first-up so I am happy to put a line though that. She will appreciate the drop in weight today and her form last prep shows that she is a filly with plenty of potential. I personally believe that she is overs in the market and with the right run she could handle this field. No. 9 Rinviata has been very impressive in his last two wins and this bloke looks to have the ability to take the next step. I don't expect him to be ridden any closer from barrier 6 because he has been racing so well since connections have decided to drop him out the back and put him to sleep. He is trained by gun trainer Matt Dale and I expect this bloke to be attacking the line very hard at the business end of the race. No. 5 Just For Tilda is unbeaten in three starts and I am looking forward to seeing how this horse measures up today. He has drawn wide but his recent wins suggest that he has the speed to cross to the front. This is a big step up but he looks to be a horse with plenty of upside.
Back No. 3 to win and have something on the 13 each way.
No. 2 ARAB DAWN showed us last start that he is a very nice stayer in the making and third-up today he should be even better. He beat most of these in the Parramatta Cup last start at Rosehill and his draw today ensures that he gets a gun run throughout. This flashy grey is a nice horse going places. No. 3 Loophole has been very consistent this prep and he is mapped to get a perfect run here today. He was easily beaten by my top pick last start but the rise in distance is a plus and C Waller knows how to get his horses to peak at the right time. No. 5 Hippopus comes into this third-up after two pretty handy runs. He will be near peak fitness now and I expect this tough stayer to be in front for a long way. No. 1 Centre Pivot finished mid-field behind the superstar Winx last start so that form is well and truly good enough to win this but I am not too sure if he is trying his hardest on race day. He is one from one at the trip so that is no concern but he will need to be at his best if he is going to win from barrier 12 with a big weight.
Have a good bet on No. 2 to win.
No. 3 PRIZED ICON has been good in all three career starts and he will really appreciate getting out to the 1200m today. I really like that he has had a recent trial to keep him switched on and third-up today he should be ready to break his maiden tag. He will need luck from the wide barrier but he does have the best jockey in the business to help slot him into a nice position. No. 1 Dieters has won both his two starts in impressive style and I think this colt will adore the extra distance. He is from Queensland and that form is always hard to line up but he looks a progressive horse. Trainer Jason McLachlan would have this bloke here for only one reason and that is to win. Massive watch on this colt. No. 2 Defcon has been good in both runs but there is no way that I could take the short odds about him today because he has drawn horribly and I'm not sure if he is genuine just yet. He has been racing against some handy horses and there is big hype on this horse, which is why he is so short. No. 6 Calabasas was a tough winner last start and this well-bred colt definitely deserves his crack here today. He has drawn perfectly in barrier 2 and both jockey and trainer are flying at the moment. Calabasas ticks plenty of boxes but I am a bit concerned that he might lack the class.
Back No. 3 and No. 1 to win.
Leg 1) 2, 3, 4, 9, 12, 13
Leg 2) 2
Leg 3) 1, 2, 3, 6
Leg 4) 2, 4, 5, 7, 10