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Whose turn will it be to win the 2200m race this week? I’m leaning to the locally trained No.4 RANKED getting away from Doomben and back onto home track. He drops 3kg on his last start when second to Honey Toast and won here three runs back before placing twice in town. No.2 Ongoing Venture and No.3 Uno Five continue to race honestly. No.5 Cramming is a false favourite in my book. He carries an extra half kilo after placing third to Honey Toast and Ranked last start. Ranked therefore meets him 3.5kg better at the weights for beating him last start. He is also yet to place at the Gold Coast from two runs at the track. It has been two years since No.1 Instrumentalist won the Mornington Cup, and he hasn’t been competitive in any run since. Hard to back him with any confidence unless you know his issues are sorted.
100 unit win bet on No.4 Ranked.
No.5 RED HANDLE makes appeal here from a good draw and stepping up to 1200m after she placed second and third over 1050m at first two career starts at Doomben. She is an on-pace type who should get every favour in the run and sports blinkers for the first time. No.4 Spot The Diff scored a 2.5L win at the Sunshine Coast last start as $1.45 favourite and while this race will be tougher she has also previously won in town by a good margin when she downed Fallen For You by 2.8L back in October. No.1 Social Conquest scored on debut over 900m here at the Gold Coast and is a stablemate to the top pick with Jim Byrne in the irons. No.3 Double Superlative is an interesting runner. He had excuses galore after failing as an easing favourite on debut at Doomben on October 3 last year. He has been spelled since and gelded, so any betting ring push should be noted with blinkers also going on first-time.
50 unit win bet on No.5 Red Handle at $3.20 fixed.
No.1 SPIRIT OF HEAVEN was the obvious selection if the track remains in the soft range or worse. She absolutely loves the sting out and her first run for the new stable was a belter and indicated she has lost none of her class. She has had a barrier trial win since then and deserves to be topweight here. I'm with her even on the good surface. She's a class above these. No.10 Promas looks to be one with upside and landed a narrow win at the Sunshine Coast last start over this distance. No.9 Pantalettes was caught wide last start and can improve here. Her prior run was a 0.8L second to My Little Flicka over 1200m at Ipswich. No.5 Awesome Sight has been racing well and has place claims on wet ground. No.12 Katelette gets the tongue tie on first time and can be an improver from a better gate with no weight on her back.
100 unit win bet on No.1 Spirit Of Heaven
No.6 SUBSOLAR looks a nice stayer in the making and worked home from a long way back last start when 3.4L fifth behind No.1 Mr Epic at Doomben over 1600m. She can sit closer in the run from a better gate this time and should be poised to pounce at the right time if she is good enough. They have also taken the blinkers off her and she has a 3kg swing in weights to her favour. Mr Epic is well placed again in this age-restricted race after the 2kg claim for apprentice jockey Matthew McGillivray. He is giving just 2-3kg to the rest of the field and has won his past couple over the mile in good style. No.2 Emphasis meets the topweight 1.5kg better at the weights and has drawn to get another nice run in transit after finishing second to him last time. No.8 Favoured Grace was second over this course last start and has to be respected on home track.
60 unit win bet on No.6 Subsolar. 40 unit win bet on No.1 Mr Epic.
No.6 WALHAAN has been freshened 21 days since placing 0.5L second to Heart Of A Warrior over 1600m at Doomben on Feb 20. He is trained on track and has won third up at 1800m. No.4 Mishani Stealth should relish the extra distance on the seven-day back-up and was honest in finishing 2.3L third to Heart Of A Warrior in a Class 6 at Doomben over 1630m last week. He handles soft going too. No.8 Putapavonit has won two from two over this course, including a narrow win over Scotti Be Gotti here last start. She is in form and will take tossing again from a good draw, especially now the track has dried. No.5 Tracey’s Angel was 6.7L 11th in the same race, but she is a wet tracker. If the track was wet she would get brought right back into calculations from the good draw.
70 unit win bet on No.6 Walhaan. 30 unit win bet on No.4 Mishani Stealth.
Really tricky race and the result will come down to who gets the right run. No.15 NOTONYOURLIFE goes heaps better second-up and gets the dry track he needs. I would have been all over No.16 Assertory from a good gate, or in the wet, but barrier 18 throws a real spanner in the works. It wouldn’t surprise me to see her ridden stone cold from the wide gate, and then try and pick her way between runners as they fan off the turn. If she gets the splits at the right time she can win. No.7 Elusive Catch has a touch of class about her and raced in some handy winter carnival races last campaign. Has had a 31-week spell since last run and any market support should be followed closely as she races well fresh. No.11 Frilly Curtain gets in light from a good draw and should strip fitter for resuming 3.9L ninth to No.13 Faiconi here over 1100m on February 24. She should race much closer to the speed from the good draw. No.14 Lush Belle got blinkers on first time and won over 1200m at Ipswich last start, defeating Hydrazine by 1.5L in a Restricted 70 race. Trained on course and likely to roll to the front from the middle draw.
No win bets here. Go wide in this leg of the quaddie instead.
No.1 TIGER TEES is clearly the benchmark runner in the race. He carries 61kg here, but he carries 58.5kg in WFA Group 1 races and this event is no-where near the quality he has met recently. He is getting on a bit and hasn’t won for a while, but he has a great overall record and will be the one to beat. No.6 Whiskey Allround scored a deserved Listed win in the Falvelon Quality at Doomben on Feb 13 and has been freshened and had a barrier trial since. They will know he is in the race with just 54kg to carry. No.2 Sir Moments has had almost a year off but does race well fresh and if he has any sort of luck from the wide gate he could be in the mix at the business end of the race. No.10 Casual Choice should get a lovely smother throughout and if they leave his run until deep in the striaght he might be able to stick his head down at the right time.
70 unit win bet on No.1 Tiger Tees. 30 unit win bet on No.6 Whiskey Allround.
No.15 SANKARA SPIRIT would be a fitting winner here after his former trainer Bede Murray passed away this week. Now with Kelso Wood, this bloke was luckless behind Binalong Road at Doomben last time and he is a real chance from a good draw here if he gets the split into the straight. Hard to go past No.4 Wild 'N' Famous from a good draw after a win in a similar grade race at Doomben last start. He handles the soft going fine, but if it gets to heavy by this stage in the day I don’t want to be on him. No.8 Desert General is probably the horse with the most upside in the race but has drawn gate 20. He will need luck in running from out there. No.10 Tan Tat Diamond savaged the line at Doomben last start behind the impressive Liberation and is on the quick back-up here. No.13 Basic Strategy loves this distance at home track and could be one at big odds for exotics players.
50 unit each-way bet on No.15 Sankara Spirit.
Leg 1) 1,4,6,8
Leg 2) 6,7,11,14,15,16,19
Leg 3) 1,6
Leg 4) 4,8,10,15
$100 will get us 44.64%