NO.5 A CHOICE SCOTCH will be at her peak now with two runs under her belt. She was good at Launceston two weeks ago over 1200m when only nabbed late. Winner and third came from 3 to 4 pairs back so it proved a swoopers race. there was plenty of merit in the effort and, with the drop back to 1100m, today she'll be mighty hard to beat. No.2 Geegees Muscle Man will be the big improver, looked like he needed the run when returning here at Hobart over 1100m. Second-up, strips fitter, can take up a good position and will be much more suited at the 1200m. No.3 George's Gambol was somewhat disappointing on face value here at Hobart two weeks ago when sent out favourite. Dont think he handled the softer conditions so back on top of the ground today will see him return to somewhere near his best. No.6 Berry Wise Fox was seven weeks between runs at Hobart a month ago and her effort was good under the circumstances. She is a must for all exotics.
Backing A Choice Scotch (100 units) to win.
Great race this, with some high-class mainlanders making the trek down. One of those is NO.3 SEBRING SALLY, who was something beaten at Moonee Valley over a mile when having to circumnavigate the field and only going down in a bob-of-the-head finish. Her late splits were excellent and gave every indication the step to 2100m will suit - and the pattern late in the day may very well suit those running on. No.5 All That I Know is a filly on the up. She was a very smart winner on a heavy track at Cranbourne three weeks ago over the 1600m and she's improved with each run this campaign whilst continuing to step up in trip. Won't spend a penny from gate 4 and will be strong late. No.2 Alamonteel made ground at Moonee Valley in a race dominated by those on-speed, that was her first go at the 2000m so she'll be a much improved horse for the outing. Would like to see her sit a touch closer from the soft draw. No.1 Gee Gees Top Notch is the best of the locals, has been a bridesmaid of late but her form around the likes of Jerilderie Letter has been well and truly franked.
Backing Sebring Sally (50 units) each-way.
NO.5 WALES carried 60kg to score in convincing fashion at Moonee Valley two weeks ago when jumping 1400m to 2040m. That's an enormous effort and he was the only one to really make ground. He's been set for this so I can see him improving yet again and, going on his effort late last year in the Ballarat Cup when 2nd to Junoob, he'll be very hard to beat at the trip. No.2 Geegees Goldengirl never runs poorly. She was excellent winning the Devonport Cup a month ago when leading all the way (was pressured) before being a touch unlucky at Hobart over 2200m two weeks ago. She's drawn out so I can see her sliding forward and taking up the running amd, with any peace mid-race, she'll be there for a long way. No.6 Up Cups has found the form of his career over the past month. He's relished getting out to a trip and 2400m again looks no issue. Just drawn a touch awkwardly so he'll need to slot in 3-4 pairs back with cover to be any chance. Can win with the right run though. No.3 Quick Strike is consistent without winning. The form around All I Survey is good enough to go close but with glue on shoes going on (issues?) happy to side with others. He's a must for the top four, though.
Backing Wales (100 units) to win.
Leg 1) 1,2,3,4,5
Leg 2) 2,3,5,6,9
Leg 3) 1
Leg 4) 4,5,6,7,8,10,12,13
$100 = 50%