Scratching of early favourite La Cigale will destroy the value in this race. I wanted to take him on today and there was no way he deserved to be odds-on. I like the chances of No.7 SHE’S A RUBY here for Jim Byrne and Matt Dunn. Three of her best runs have been on rain affected ground. No.2 Akacheta Lee looks a bit of value for exotics and has placed in one of her two soft track runs to date. Apprentice Brooke Stower is riding with confidence and the 1350m looks more suitable second-up. No.4 Bayview Emperor comes off a Class 1 win at the Gold Coast and won his maiden on a heavy track at Wyong.
100 unit win bet on No.7 She's A Ruby.
Really keen on the chances of European import No.2 CAILLEBOTTE who has been racing strongly since being shipped north to Matt Dunn’s yard. Seems to handle soft going OK and breeding suggests he should love it. His two unplaced heavy track runs came on debut in France and then on debut in Australia, so I’m forgiving those heavy stats. No.8 Highward scored first win over a distance last start and getting him over a longer trip has been key. I’m also forgiving his poor wet track stats over shorter trips on that basis, as his breeding says he should relish the sting out. No.4 Freezelightning and No.3 Collateral are place hopes also.
70 unit win bet on No.2 Caillebotte. 30 unit saver on No.8 Highward.
No.1 SLIPPERY SAGA likes a heavy track and gets up to this middle distance for the first time which should suit. He races well here at Ipswich and has leading jockey Jim Byrne engaged. I think he is worth the punt at $7 fixed in an open race - even though he has 59kg and is making the leap from 1350m to 1700m on heavy surface. No.5 Gypsy Gold likes it wet and was slowly away last start before running on to grab third behind Rock Me Crazy at this track over 1666m on February 21. No.7 Caviar Girl has hit form in last couple of runs with a win on soft going at Dalby then a third to Sugar Hit in a Class 1 at the Gold Coast over 1400m last time.
60 unit win bet on No.1 Slippery Saga. 40 unit win bet on No.5 Gypsy Gold.