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MORPHETTVLLE PARKS PREVIEW - SAT 21/11

MORPHETTVILLE PARKS - WITH LACHIE WEEKLEY - SATURDAY NOVEMBER 21

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 6m 1000m to WP, 3m remainder.

Track Comment - Morphettville Parks is a turning track built inside of Morphettville course proper. This track lends itself to horses on the pace. The rail being out will not assist horses to run on. No Rain forecast.

 

Race – 1 William Hill Maiden Plate, 1000m

Tricky race to start the day. China town will lead and roll along. No.7 HOT DEMAND was heavily supported first-up over 1100m at Gawler when beaten four lengths by the promising Living Large. Dennis O’Leary is a very good trainer and given the confidence first-up I expect she will be hard to beat in this with added fitness. She should not get too far back from barrier two and Simon Price will be able to produce her at the right time. David Jolly is a master at producing sprinters to win first-up and No.1 Lockdown Jack fits the mould of one that can do just that. With the experience of his first preparation to aid him Lockdown Jack should be hard to hold out fresh despite the fact that he will most likely get a fair way back. He was very unlucky not to win his first start in a race on this track and over this trip on June 20, when he charged into third less than a length from Nutherbottlegonski. No.6 Crepe Volant is a very small mare out of city winner Billy Baroo. She showed some natural speed in her most recent trial and from barrier 1 she can run a race at massive odds for good apprentice Dylan Caboche.

Top four - 7 HOT DEMAND, 1 LOCKDOWN JACK, 6 CREPE VOLANT, 5 CHICA CALIENTE.

Betting strategy – Back Hot Demand each way.

 

RACE  2 - Benchmark 70 Hcp 3YO, 1250m

Very interesting race here with some well bred horses engaged. Caro Kahn and Hazy Lane will set the pace. No.4 KESAN is beautifully bred being by Choisir and out of VRC Oaks second place getter Valdemoro. Kesan gave the impression he is a very strong horse in his most recent trial in which he powered to the line defeating Metier over 1000m here on October 6. This horse was scratched from a weak maiden at Gawler on Wednesday for this. Richard Jolly is a very smart trainer and he must have a big opinion of this gelding to kick off his career in such a strong race. No.3 Enchanting Beauty is also nicely bred being by gun stallion Sebring and she was most impressive winning a 1050m maiden easily at Morphettville on Melbourne Cup Day despite being slowly away. The second placegetter Hot Gossip went on to confirm the form and win at her next start. Enchanting Beauty looks to have plenty of upside and the step up in trip is also a plus. No.6 Validate comes out of a strong race behind Cool Snitzel on the big track where she was beaten less than two lengths. She has drawn to get a good run from barrier 1 and has another big help in Matt Neilson to ride.

Top three – 4 KESAN, 3 ENCHANTING BEAUTY, 6 VALIDATE.

Betting strategy - Back 4 and 3 both straight out. They are both smart horses.

 

Race 3 – Benchmark 75 Hcp, 1250m

Good race with solid pace to be set by Hook Me Up from the widest gate. No.5 SCRATCHY LASS was excellent last week here over 1000m when she tasted defeat for the first time at the hands of the highly talented Lucky Symbol. Scratchy Lass has improved this preparation, now up to 1250m from a perfect gate in two she will trail the speed and I feel only bad luck or failing to back up could beat her. No.9 Pepper The Pin had absolutely no luck here last Saturday when he was held up behind horses for the entire straight. He has drawn barrier 1 again for Clare Lindop and she will be hoping to extract him from the inside at the top of the straight and give him a fair crack at his opposition. No.7 Lucky Flipper was typically honest first up here on October 31 when she was beaten 4.2 lengths over 1000m by track specialist Alabama Missile. She is unbeaten second up and with any luck from barrier 10 she has a good place chance.

Top four – 5 SCRATCHY LASS, 9 PEPPER THE PIN, 7 LUCKY FLIPPER, 4 IL GATTINO.

Betting strategy – Have a good win bet on Scratchy Lass, She should win this.

 

Race 4 – Benchmark 80 Hcp, 1950m

Not an inspiring contest. No.5 Beau’s My Boy will look to lead all the way. He has been most consistent this preparation and it is worth a try leading over the 1950m here. He was honest last start when 2.4 lengths second to Maccy Fields over 1600m on the big track on November 7 and he will lead this race for a long way. No.4 Martian is proven over this distance range and will be ready to produce his best third up. He was honest last start when 3.2 lengths behind Defiant Angel here over 1550m on October 31 and he should improve now up to the 1950m. If Neilson can work his magic and get him a decent run from barrier eight he has an each way chance.

Top three – 5 BEAU’S MY BOY, 4 MARTIAN, 2 OKAHU BAY.

BETTING STRATEGY – Stay out, there are good betting races on the program, this is not one.

 

Race - 5 Alf Gard Memorial Handicap, 1000m

Typical benchmark 90 handicap this. Plenty of speed in the race and loads of chances. Jennyfromtheblock, I Am Gypsy, Alabama Missile and Moss’n Time will all be vying for the lead. No.1 WHITLAM has had a four-week freshen since his latest effort at Morphettville where he finished three lengths behind Flamberge under weight-for-age conditions. He is better kept on the fresh side and interestingly he sports blinkers for the first time today. Three starts back he ran second in the group 3 Spring stakes and prior to that he comfortably accounted for talented horses Nearest The Pin and Classy Jack. Emily Finnegan’s claim will be very beneficial and we will enjoy the fast speed in the race. I expect him to get back off the speed and be charging home. Lloyd Kennewell has got No.5 Jennyfromtheblock racing in great heart. She will again take up her customary role on speed and with no weight on her back will take a lot of catching. She was strong to the line last start over 1050m at Morphettville to defeat Stratumsphere and Swinging Arms. No.7 Alabama Missile scored a brilliant four-length win at this track and distance on October 31 when she defeated Lucky Flipper. David Jolly has saved her for this after electing to scratch her out of Lucky Symbol’s race last Saturday. From the inside barrier she will jump and follow the rail all the way and is sure to make her presence felt.

Top four – 1 WHITLAM, 5 JENNYFROMTHEBLOCK, 7 ALABAMA MISSILE, 2 KARACATIS

Betting Strategy – Happy to have an each way bet on Whitlam.

 

Race 6 - Peter Elberg Funerals Handicap, 1550m

Izenashark can take up the running here from Golden Buckleboo and Victory Downs just off them. No.4 SAGAPUSS has raced very consistently all preparation. Two starts ago she defeated Tycoon Queen and Khamsa in mares grade over 1400m at Morphettville before running to second to a horse who has good ability in Famous Jayne last Saturday. She must have pleased trainer Phillip Stokes for him to decide to back her up and the step up to 1550m looks suitable. From the very good barrier draw she will do no work in transit and hit the line solidly. The Port Lincoln trained galloper No.1 Dire Warning is also on the quick back-up after he raced at Port Lincoln on Sunday where he finished third behind a classy horse in Propshaft, with Con’s Gold running second. His last four runs on his home track have been full of merit and he will appreciate the three kilo claim and the step up in distance to 1550m. The Stephen Theodore-trained No.2 Izenashark put in a game on-pace run behind Tenere and Streetcar Valour who would both be highly competitive in this event. Good jockey Jake Toeroek can find the front on him and take a lot of catching stepping up to this distance.

Top four – 4 SAGAPUSS, 1 DIRE WARNING, 2 IZENASHARK, 5 AMICONI ORIGINALE

Betting Strategy – Very tricky race, I'm staying out.

 

Race 7 - Handicap, 1400m

Good race with a couple of leaders to create nice pace - Tildy Lad and Conidel will both go forward. No.3 CHESTNUT CHARLIE got back and was forced to race wide in the slowly run 1300m China Bowl at Ararat won by a very good mare in Tycoon Tara. After enduring a difficult run in transit he still had the audacity to finish his race off strongly to be beaten just over 3.5 lengths. Forget he went around at Ararat and getting back to Morphettville over 1400m with Sigrid Carr’s claim is much better suited and this being his third run in from a spell he would have reached peak fitness and be ready to show his best form. No.4 Flow Meter looks his main danger, he finished less than three lengths behind a very good horse in Malaguerra at Flemington over 1400m on Emirates stakes day. He too will appreciate the claim he gets for Josh Cartwright today. From barrier three he will get every chance and be hard to beat back in this grade.

Top four – 3 CHESTNUT CHARLIE, 4 FLOW METER, 9 STREETCAR VALOUR, 10 TENERE

Betting Strategy – Have a good each way bet on Chestnut Charlie and take multiples anchoring Chestnut Charlie and Flow Meter.

 

Race 8 - Schweppes Handicap, 1000m

Nordic Eclipse and Kickstarter look the two that can lead with Roussanne, Living Large and Write No More all handy. Sticking with the very impressive Tony McEvoy-trained No.7 LIVING LARGE who was a four-length maiden winner last start at Gawler defeating the promising Hot Demand. This son of Starcraft was extremely strong on the line and I believe he is a horse of the future. He has drawn awkwardly but Jason Holder can have him travelling comfortably in running and be powering to the line late. David Jolly has accepted and scratched. Any betting moves for No.4 Jonjonjonny must be respected. He having his first start for Mount Gambier trainer Peter Hardacre after previously being trained by Darren Weir. He is a horse who has obviously had problems being only sparingly raced. He won his first two race starts in very good style at Mildura and Casterton over 1000m and 1100m respectively. He looked good in a recent trial at Mount Gambier which suggests he is ready to go first up.

Top four – 7 LIVING LARGE, 4 JONJONJONNY, 5 ROUSSANNE, 6 HEIRDOM

Betting Strategy – Back Living Large straight out and take multiples with Jonjonjonny and Rousanne.

 

Quaddie

Leg 1 – 1,2,5,7

Leg 2 – 1,2,4,5,6

Leg 3 – 3,4,9

Leg 4 – 5,7,9

$180 = 100%

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