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Quality little field to start the day here at Randwick and the Reisling Stakes is always a very good form race leading into the Slipper. No. 3 HONESTY PREVAILS was trialling like a smart animal before her debut win and I like that she has had a nice break between runs. She won’t be 100% wound up for this assignment because this is not her grand final but I expect her to handle this lot pretty comfortably. We will see a much smarter filly this weekend. No. 2 Calliope did enough first up in Melbourne and she should improve of that run. The inside gate is a bit of a concern because I think she needs to get to the outside so she can wind up but she is pretty good. No. 8 Moqueen got back and ran on nicely into fourth last start and that race looks to be a nice form race moving forward. She might be a bit outclassed today but she deserves her crack in this class. No. 1 Zelady’s Night Out failed last start in the Magic Millions Classic but she did have a tough run throughout, so I am happy to forgive. Tony Gollan is an astute trainer and he wouldn’t have her here if she wasn’t working well at home.
Back the 3 to win all-up with Capitalist in race 2.
Another small field for the 2yos here but we get to see some high quality colts on show. No. 1 CAPITALIST has been brilliant in all three runs and if he is another dominant winner on Saturday then we should see him firm into a short priced favourite for this year’s Golden Slipper. No. 5 Weatherly made a lot of people's black book after his impressive debut and then last start (second up) he blew away his rivals in nice fashion at Flemington. He will slot in just behind the leaders and watch for him late because he will be strong to the line. No. 6 Kiss And Make Up might be the outsider in this cracking field but I wouldn’t be surprised if this well-bred colt ran a huge race second up. Gai will have this bloke rock hard fit so he should give his backers a good sight for a long way but he might not have the same class as my top two selections. No. 3 Tessera showed good fight to win at Rosehill last start and I like that the stable has since sent him back to the trials to keep his mind on the job. He will roll forward from barrier 1 and if he can get some easy sectionals than he should give a good sight.
Have a good bet on the 1.
No. 6 ALLERGIC has grown a leg since coming to Sydney and if he didn’t get caught up at a vital stage last start he would be three from three up here. He has drawn perfectly in barrier 4 and J Mac back on is a big tick. He is unbeaten at this track and his record over the distance reads very well. No. 8 Maurus resumed with a good second at Rosehill 2 weeks ago. This gelding is a smart stayer and I expect him to be a big improver second up. If he can get into a nice rhythm throughout the run than he should be finishing off very strongly. No. 9 Libran has been good in both his Aussie runs and he will get every chance to win his first race in this Country from barrier 1 on Saturday. He ticks plenty of boxes this gelding. No. 2 Auvray is a nice stayer resuming but he will take a couple runs until we see his best.
Back the 6 to win.
No. 5 HEAVENS ABOVE was heavily supported to win last start and she did not disappoint the punters at all. I don’t think the stable could have her any fitter coming into this assignment and she loves racing at this track. Both jockey and stable are flying so I expect this mare to be well supported again. No. 1 All Cerise is absolutely flying lately and she is a massive chance again this weekend. She will be ridden positive again and this mare is unbeaten over 1600m. No. 4 Sweet Fire was a bit one paced last start over 1350m so I expect to see improvement now that she back to her preferred distance of 1600m. Sweet Fire is a smart mare that will take a ton of beating from barrier 2. No. 3 Zarzali didn’t really do much first up but that was expected because she is a mare that loves getting over a bit of ground. She has drawn to be more positive in this G3 and if she can repeat her second up run last prep than she should be a big chance in this.
Back the 5 to win and have a boxed quinella 1, 3, 4, 5.
No. 3 OUR BOY MALACHI was absolutely brilliant first up at Rosehill and I am a big fan of the recent trial earlier this week to keep him ticking over. This is a much harder race but he will make his own luck and this gelding will show his rivals how bloody tough he really is. He is five from five in Sydney and 18 from 22 in his career. No. 2 Kermadec was a bit disappointing down in Melbourne but I am happy to forgive those runs because he didn’t runout the distance and I think he was at the end of his prep by then. This horse is highly talented and his two recent trials suggest that he will run a big race first up. I have a lot of time for this bloke and he should be ready to show us his best this prep. No. 6 First Seal was very good first up from a long break but she will find this race a lot tougher. She is loaded with ability but I am a bit concerned that she will be running on when it’s all over. No. 5 Happy Clapper might not be up to the big guns just yet but this bloke is an exciting animal and he is definitely not out of place in this race. He has trialled very well this time in but I don’t think we will see his best until he steps out further than 1400m.
Back the 3 to win.
One of the toughest races of the day with a host of leading chances but I have stuck with No. 10 EGYPTIAN SYMBOL because this bloke is an exciting animal on the way up. Last start he didn’t have much luck behind the very smart Mahuta in the Magic Millions Guineas but he still managed to run on well into third. Brenton Avdulla will need to pull out a gun ride from barrier 11 but if he can’t, I still believe this horses is good enough to come from the back and get over the top of this smart field. No. 1 Takedown ran a very nice race first up last prep behind Counterattack and there is no reason why he can’t repeat that effort again this Saturday because his trial was very good last month. Takedown is a big strong gelding that should have no worries carrying the 59kgs but he is going to need some luck from barrier 10. No. 9 Tempt Me Not ran a big race first up in the Light Fingers Stakes and she is a strong chance in this now that she strips fitter. This filly has drawn perfectly in barrier 2 and her record over the 1100m is very good. No. 6 Strindberg chased hard and got the cash last start. This Fastnet Rock colt has drawn well in barrier 1 and I can’t work out why he is such big odds and Redzel who he beat last start is much shorter in the market.
Back the 10 and 1 each way.
No. 7 MONTAIGNE looks to be a very smart horse in the making and he is drawn to get a suck run throughout the race. He might not be in the same class as No. 1 Press Statement but the step up to 1600m is perfect and he is great each way value for a horse with his ability. Press Statement was AWESOME first up but he has drawn wide and he won’t get as many favours in this Group 1. He is too short for me in the market but he is a star and if he gets across easy than it is all over. No. 8 Tulsa was good in the CS Hayes last start and I like that he comes into this third up. Steven Arnold’s soft hands will suit this horse and I am expecting this gelding to be attacking the line strongly at the end of the race. No. 13 Stay With Me ran a better race behind a smart one last start and she will get every chance to show her best from the perfect draw on Saturday. She is a smart filly on her day and her win over this distance last prep was very good.
Back the 7 each-way.
No. 10 ENGLISH has nearly had a year off but I have been in love with her recent trials and she is a filly with plenty of promise. This is a tough race first up and it is a bit short for her but she is quality and barrier 6 is perfect for this filly. There is good speed in the race so she should be able to settle midfield and attack the line down the outside. No. 3 Shiraz must be respected first up because he has an impressive record and his will to win is first class. He will settle just off the speed and make sure you watch for him late because he will be motoring home. No. 9 Speak Fondly was bomb proof in the spring and she looks to have come back well again this prep. She will hold a good spot from barrier 3 but I just hope she doesn’t get in to a speed battle up front. This filly doesn’t know how to run a bad race and she must be kept safe in this Group 2. No. 7 Rule The River had plenty of excuses in the Take Over Target last start and she will love being back at her home track where she races so well. I like that she has had a little break, her two recent trials were good and this mare is unbeaten over the distance so she must be included but I am a little concerned that she lacks the class.
Back the 10 to win.
Very competitive mares race to end the day and I think nearly anything could win this. No. 7 ARTISTRY went to a new level last preparation and she did smash Telepathic last start who has since raced well in Group company. This mare has trialled well at Randwick recently and if she gets luck from the wide barrier than I can’t see her getting beat in the lucky last. No. 12 Flashing Speed is a highly promising mare that is unbeaten in both starts. She showed good ability in her first prep and I think this time in we will see a more mature mare that could go on and win a very nice race. Flashing Speed has drawn well in barrier 1 and James McDonald will make sure that he gets her out at the right time so she can show that classy turn of foot. No. 13 Lucky Can Be was a good thing beat in mid-week grade last start and she is definitely a knockout hope here at good odds. No. 1 Cradle Me might be the old girl in the field but watch for her to be flying over the top of her younger rivals at the business end of the race. Barrier 4 is not ideal for her but if Collett can pull out a gun ride then she will be in the finish.
Back the 7 and 12 to win and have something each way on the 13.
1st leg – 1, 2, 6, 9, 10, 11
2nd leg – 1, 7
3rd leg – 3, 9, 10
4th leg – 1, 7, 12, 13