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ROSEHILL

8 months ago Tips
  • Rail Position: True
  • Track Conditions: Good 3
  • Track Comments: Conditions look perfect this Saturday and the track staff at Rosehill will have the surface in great order.
Race 1 - 12:20pm - 2000m
G3 SKY HIGH STAKES
12:20pm
2000m

No. 6 DESTINY’S KISS is flying this prep and I love how he has attacked the line in his last two wins. He has been sent back to the trials (trialled very well) since his last win to keep his mind on the job and I expect him to relish over the 2000m on Saturday.  No. 4 Grand Marshall will probably find this too short again but I have loved the way that he has returned this prep. He is Gr 1 stayer at his best and he will improve on whatever he does in this race. No. 3 Magic Hurricane hasn’t set the world on fire this time in but he should be ready to show something now that he is third up and steps up to 2000m. No. 2 Who Shot Thebarman is improving with each run back this prep and he should be ready to show a glimpse of his best now the he is third up. This might still be a touch too short for him but he is a classy animal that can’t be ignored.

Top Four
6 Destiny's Kiss, 1 Hartnell, 3 Magic Hurricane, 2 Who Shot Thebarman
Betting strategy

Back Destiny's Kiss to win.

Race 2 - 1:00pm - 1200m
G2 PAGO PAGO STAKES
1:00pm
1200m

No. 2 MOUNT PANORAMA should find this race a lot easier than what he has been competing in. He looked the winner last start but died on his run and there is no Astern or Defcon to get past on Saturday. If he jumps with them he will get a perfect run from barrier two and I believe that this horse will appreciate Brett Prebble's aggressive riding style. No. 1 Souchez was ridden horribly last start but I liked the way he kept trying all the way to the line. I think he will be a much better horse next time in but I wouldn't be surprised if he won this race on Saturday in nice style. No. 5 Ocean City has been good in both runs this prep and I think he will be even better now that he is third up. This race is much harder but he has drawn well and I wouldn't be surprised if he ran a cheeky race at big odds. No. 3 Lionhearted comes into this after a nice run last start and he should roll forward again but he will need luck from the wide barrier. He is a nice colt that will win races but I don’t think he is as good as some of the other colts in this.

Top Four
2 Mount Panorama, 1 Souchez, 5 Ocean City, 3 Lionhearted
Betting strategy

Back Mount Panorama to win and have something small each-way on Ocean City.

Race 3 - 1:35pm - 1200m
G2 MAGIC NIGHT STAKES
1:35pm
1200m

No. 5 PROMPT RESPONSE went to Flemington on debut and was run down by a smart one. She has had a nice little break since her debut run and her recent trial was eye catching. I expect this filly to find the front very easily from barrier one and it will take a good horse to beat her. Gai's stable is flying at the right time and I believe that this filly is a good thing. No. 8 Omei Sword attacked the line to score a good win on debut. She will love the extra distance and barrier four is perfect for her. I think this filly is very good and if she has improved since her last run than she is a huge chance this weekend but I am a bit concerned that Prompt Response might be off and gone before this filly can get out and wind up. No. 2 Calliope is a talented 2YO and ticks plenty of boxes in this race but she got scratched at the barriers last week and that concerns me. No. 16 Larapineta has trialled very well leading into this debut run and the Hawkes team will have this filly well educated and ready to race well fresh.

Top Four
5 Prompt Response, 8 Omei Sword, 2 Calliope, 16 Larapineta
Betting strategy

Back Prompt Response to win and quinella 5 and 8.

Race 4 - 2:10pm - 1900m
BENCHMARK 85
2:10pm
1900m

No. 11 HIERARCHAL ran poorly last start but I am going to put a pen through that run and give him another chance this week because he is a nice horse who can win this race. He is drawn perfectly in barrier one and this horse will love no weight on his back. If he can switch off during the run than he should be finishing off very strongly. No. 9 Hursley gets the blinkers applied this weekend and I think that is a huge positive. He will be ready to show his best now that he is third up and if he can repeat his Melbourne win last prep than he will take a ton of beating in this BM 85. No. 3 Word Of Mouth found the line nicely behind a smart one last start and he is drawn to get a perfect run throughout. My only concern with this horse is the drop back in distance. No. 10 Self Esteem beat a smart horse last start and she is a horse that is improving with every run. This race is harder but she has drawn perfectly and the light weight on her back is a big tick.

Top Four
11 Hierarchal, 9 Hursley, 3 Word Of Mouth, 10 Self Esteem
Betting strategy

Back Hursley and Hierarchal each-way.

Race 5 - 2:50pm - 1100m
G3 MAURICE McCARTEN STAKES
2:50pm
1100m

No. 5 ALBERTO MAGIC is a very exciting galloper who looks to have come back even better this time in and that is a scary thought for his opposition. He is only a small horse but he has a big heart and a massive engine. His record at this track/distance is very good and he will get every chance to make that first-up record four from four. No. 2 Craftiness ran well first up and he has a good record at the track from just the three starts. I liked his recent trial at Randwick and he must be respected whenever he comes to the races because he is so genuine. No. 4 Angels Beach is a classy mare on her day and she is drawn to get every chance first-up on Saturday. Her recent trial was good and her first-up record is top class. No. 9 Eminent Duke won well last start and I think that win would have given this gelding the confidence to go on with it this prep. Big chance at nice odds.

Top Four
5 Alberto Magic, 2 Craftiness, 4 Angels Beach, 9 Eminent Duke
Betting strategy

Have a good bet on Alberto Magic.

Race 6 - 3:30pm - 1500m
G2 PHAR LAP STAKES
3:30pm
1500m

No. 5 OLD NORTH won like a group horse first up at Warwick Farm and I loved the way he stretched out over the final stages. This track looks to be more up his alley and he will get a perfect run from barrier five. There doesn't look to be much speed on paper so he shouldn't be as far back as he was last start. No. 10 Believe is two from two and she deserves her crack in this grade on Saturday. She was ridden upside down last start but still managed to dig deep and record a tough win. This filly will roll forward again and I expect her to be very hard to run down. No. 3 Torgersen is third up so he should be ready to show his best. He loves racing here at his own track and this horse is mapped to get a perfect run mid field. Massive watch on this horse. No. 6 Hattori Hanzo won easily last start at Moonee Valley and Mick Kent only brings a horse to Sydney when he knows they will be competitive. I don't know if his last start form is good enough to win this but he will be in this race for a long way.

Top Four
5 Old North, 10 Believe, 3 Torgersen, 6 Hattori Hanzo
Betting strategy

Back Old North and Believe.

Race 7 - 4:10pm - 1500m
G1 COOLMORE CLASSIC
4:10pm
1500m

The Coolmore is always a great/competitive race and this year is no different. No. 10 SLIGHTLY SWEET has had excuses in her two runs back this prep but I am happy to give her another chance because she has no weight on her back and she can rattle off some serious sectionals when right. I hope Jay Ford can put her to sleep at the back of the field so he can save her up for one last crack at them down the middle of the track. She should be ready to show her best now that she is third up. No. 12 Ghisoni was absolutely awesome first up and she looks to have the world at her feet. She is a good sort, has a massive motor and if she has improved then that is pretty scary. This filly only has to carry 50kgs and I expect her to be in front for a long way. No. 7 Azkadellia is a star but her pattern of racing is a big concern. Her run in the Myer last prep was awesome (Should have won by three) and if she can repeat that than she wins this. We all know that she is good but will she have another excuse this weekend? Ciaron Maher is a great trainer and he will have her ready to peak this weekend. No. 8 Telepathic ran on well first up and I can't ignore her in this race because her record at this track is brilliant and she always improves second up. This mare will get a soft run from barrier three and she is another one in the race that will adore no weight on her back. This girl can win if she gets some luck. I am happy to forgive Tinto’s run last start and I expect a big improvement now that she is back up to the 1500m.

Top Four
10 Slightly Sweet, 12 Ghisoni, 7 Azkadellia, 8 Telepathic
Betting strategy

Back Slightly Sweet each-way and have a boxed Quinella 7, 8, 10, 12.

Race 8 - 4:50pm - 1500m
G2 AJAX STAKES
4:50pm
1500m

No. 2 GENERALIFE hasn't had the best of luck this time in. There doesn't look to be too much speed in this race so barriers should play a big part and this bloke is drawn to get a perfect run just behind the leaders, so that is why he is my top pick. He should be near peak fitness third up and this gelding can easily win this if he produces his best. No. 6 Rock Sturdy ran an eye catching race first up and that run had plenty of merit because not many horses made ground down the middle of the track that day and I can’t work out why this horse isn’t shorter in the market. He will be fitter and I love that he is drawn to get a soft run throughout from barrier two. No. 7 Kool Kompany got home very well first up at Randwick and I would like to see Angland give this horse a squeeze out of the barriers so he can be in a more forward position. This horse has plenty of upside but I think he might need one more run until we see his best. No. 4 Good Project looked the winner first up but he just peaked on his run to finish a solid third. He has drawn horribly again this weekend but if he can get some luck in running than he could be the one finishing over the top of this field. Make sure you put No. 3 Excess Knowledge in all exotics because this bloke has trialled very well recently. If he goes forward and gets some easy sectionals than he will be hard to get past.

Top Four
2 Generalife, 6 Rock Sturdy, 7 Kool Kompany, 4 Good Project
Betting strategy

Have a good bet on Generalife and Rock Sturdy to win.

Race 9 - 5:30pm - 1350m
BENCHMARK 85
5:30pm
1350m

Very hard race to finish and I wouldn’t be surprised if anything won this but I have settled with No. 11 LOFTY’S MENU because his last win was awesome and barrier three should ensure that he gets a perfect run throughout. He has always shown city ability and I think he gets every chance to record his first Saturday win this weekend. No. 10 High Midnight might be better suited over further but I am happy to have something on him first up because his trials have been good. This gelding will need luck from the barrier but he will get back anyway and attack the line strongly at the business end of the race. No. 16 Takewing ran home very hard to just miss last start and he will be running on well again in this but I am a bit worried that he might find this a bit too short and he might lack the class. No. 2 Lady le Fay has trialled well leading into this and I think she will be a more mature horse now that she has had the one prep in this country. This mare will get a perfect run from barrier 5 and if she can carry the big weight than she should be in the finish.

Top Four
11 Lofty's Menu, 10 High Midnight, 16 Takewing, 2 Lady le Fay
Betting strategy

Back Lofty's Menu to win and have something on High Midnight each-way.

Quaddie

1st leg – 3, 5, 6, 10

2nd leg – 7, 8, 10, 12

3rd leg – 2, 3, 4, 6, 7

4th leg – 2, 10, 11, 12, 16

$100 = 25%

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